Seismicity by period · derived statistics from Skjálftalísa (Icelandic Met Office)
Status (automatic)
In the last 24 hours, 7 earthquakes were measured in Grímsvötn, Iceland's most active volcano. Activity is increasing, now well above the weekly average (3 earthquakes per day) and monthly average (1 earthquake per day). This is slightly more activity than usual in this area, with scattered background activity rather than swarms. The largest earthquake in the last 48 hours was M1.1, and the cumulative magnitude in the same period was Mw 1.5. The land is subsiding by ~19 mm/year according to GNSS measurements (data a few weeks old). This activity is most similar to the period around June 12, 2018. These are automatic preliminary results, and depth is unreliable. Further information, maps, and trends can be found lower on the page.
VONA (Grímsvötn): Green (was: Yellow, 2025-01-20) · source
Volcano is in normal, non-eruptive state.
VONA = Volcano Observatory Notice for Aviation; the official Met Office colour code for aviation. Independent of Skjálfti's automatic analysis.
Depth — 3D and cross-section Grímsvötn · last 90 days
Each dot is an earthquake, depth as the third dimension — Grímsvötn, last 90 days. Drag the 3D view to rotate; point at a dot for details.
3D (rotatable) · depth ×2.5
Cross-section — distance along profile (km) vs depth (km)
⚠ Preliminary depths, unreliable (automatic Met Office solutions; depth often poorly constrained). events with unconstrained (default) depth shown as open rings — not real structure. For illustration, not analysis.
🕰️ Last eruption / event — 15 years ago
Largest eruption in 100 years(2011-05-21). Sent an ash cloud that halted Nordic flights for days. Average interval between eruptions is ~6 years — approaching long-term mean.
Iceland's most active volcano, beneath Vatnajökull. Erupts every few years to decades (last 2011, large) and causes glacial outburst floods on Skeiðarársandur. (overview — more at vedur.is) · circle on the map = rough outline of the system (radius).
Subglacial system: a subglacial eruption can cause a jökulhlaup (sudden glacial meltwater flood) with little warning, and volcanic gases (incl. SO₂, CO₂) can be dangerous near vents and may pool in hollows. These are standing features of the system, not a sign of an imminent eruption.
📜 Did you know?
The Lakagígar eruption of 1783-84 (Grímsvötn system) is the largest lava eruption in historical time on Earth — 14 km³. The ensuing Móðuharðindi famine killed about 25% of Icelanders and 60% of livestock, and a sulfurous haze spread across Europe (Benjamin Franklin wrote about it from Paris). Grímsvötn itself is Iceland's most active volcano — last large eruption in 2011.
Historical eruptions in the system — points colored by size, blue circle shows where we are now in time.
❓ What if Grímsvötn erupts tomorrow?
Timeline: Met Office usually gets seismic precursors hours to days in advance. Jökulhlaup: Skeiðará/Gígjukvísl onto Skeiðarársand — peak flow can reach 10,000-50,000 m³/s. Ring Road and Skeiðará bridge are at risk (current bridge has survived prior floods). Ash: Size-dependent. Small eruption (like 2004): limited impact. Large eruption (like 2011): high-altitude ash cloud, can halt Nordic flights. Last major: 2011 produced a 12 km² ash plume per hour and stopped Nordic flights for 5 days. Sources: Met Office hazard assessment, GVP Smithsonian.
This is not a forecast. Based on historical experience and official hazard assessments from the Met Office / Civil Protection.
Jökulhlaup history(historical renewal model + Bayesian update)
Last known flood (Grímsvötn): 2024-10-01, 710 d ago. Median interval between floods: ~2.9 yr (1054 d, n=7) · historically ~1 in 50 within 6 mo from a state like this (n=7).
Active signals now:
Skjálfta-aukning (×2.0) — 1.9/d vs 0.7/d (sl. 14d)
Active signals raise the rough baseline — from ~1 in 50 toward ~1 in 25 over the next 6 mo. The multiplier (×2.0) is a rough estimate, not a measured probability.
Likelihood ratios are illustrative — not from peer-reviewed Iceland-specific research. Indicator, not forecast.
Note: The Met Office does not publish open realtime water-level/conductivity data. Realtime flood monitoring requires VPN/agreement with Veðurstofa (vmkerfi.vedur.is).
GFUM step detection — 5 drops ≥ 15 mm in past 2 yr (May-Oct; winter snow filtered). Each drop = ice-shell subsidence, possible jökulhlaup signal. Latest: 2026-05-02 (-21 mm).
Points = earthquake locations in the selected window, coloured by magnitude: ● M3+ · ● M2+ · ● smaller (a sample if more than 800).
Earthquakes
6
Largest
M1.1
M3,0+
0
Depth range
0–16 km
Earthquakes over time
Cumulative count · 6 earthquakes · total moment ≈ M1.4 · countmoment
Depth (0 km at top). Grey: fixed depth.
Magnitude distribution
Depth cross-sections — color by age (orange=newest, grey=older), point size by M. Rising cluster = possible magma intrusion.
Earthquakes
8
Largest
M1.1
M3,0+
0
Depth range
0–16 km
Earthquakes over time
Cumulative count · 8 earthquakes · total moment ≈ M1.5 · countmoment
Depth (0 km at top). Grey: fixed depth.
Magnitude distribution
Depth cross-sections — color by age (orange=newest, grey=older), point size by M. Rising cluster = possible magma intrusion.
Earthquakes
18
Largest
M1.3
M3,0+
0
Depth range
0–21 km
Earthquakes over time
Cumulative count · 18 earthquakes · total moment ≈ M1.7 · countmoment
Depth (0 km at top). Grey: fixed depth.
Magnitude distribution
Depth cross-sections — color by age (orange=newest, grey=older), point size by M. Rising cluster = possible magma intrusion.
Earthquakes
36
Largest
M1.3
M3,0+
0
Depth range
0–21 km
Earthquakes over time
Cumulative count · 36 earthquakes · total moment ≈ M1.9 · countmoment
Depth (0 km at top). Grey: fixed depth.
Magnitude distribution
Depth cross-sections — color by age (orange=newest, grey=older), point size by M. Rising cluster = possible magma intrusion.
Earthquakes
79
Largest
M2.1
M3,0+
0
Depth range
0–21 km
Earthquakes over time
Cumulative count · 79 earthquakes · total moment ≈ M2.4 · countmoment
Depth (0 km at top) — shallowing in the data (5.3→4.2 km). Grey: fixed depth.
Magnitude distribution
Depth cross-sections — color by age (orange=newest, grey=older), point size by M. Rising cluster = possible magma intrusion.
Earthquakes
204
Largest
M2.1
M3,0+
0
Depth range
0–21 km
Earthquakes over time
Cumulative count · 204 earthquakes · total moment ≈ M2.5 · countmoment
Depth (0 km at top). Grey: fixed depth.
Magnitude distribution
Depth cross-sections — color by age (orange=newest, grey=older), point size by M. Rising cluster = possible magma intrusion.
Earthquakes
420
Largest
M2.4
M3,0+
0
Depth range
0–23 km
Earthquakes over time
Cumulative count · 420 earthquakes · total moment ≈ M2.9 · countmoment
Depth (0 km at top). Grey: fixed depth.
Magnitude distribution
Depth cross-sections — color by age (orange=newest, grey=older), point size by M. Rising cluster = possible magma intrusion.
Note: before February 2026 about half of events lacked an automatic magnitude, so magnitude-dependent figures (b-value, count of M≥X) under-count earlier periods — the catalogue is not homogeneous across this window. Cumulative moment is barely affected.
Earthquakes
821
Largest
M3.2
M3,0+
1
Depth range
0–23 km
Earthquakes over time
Cumulative count · 821 earthquakes · total moment ≈ M3.3 · countmoment
Depth (0 km at top). Grey: fixed depth.
Magnitude distribution
Depth cross-sections — color by age (orange=newest, grey=older), point size by M. Rising cluster = possible magma intrusion.
Note: before February 2026 about half of events lacked an automatic magnitude, so magnitude-dependent figures (b-value, count of M≥X) under-count earlier periods — the catalogue is not homogeneous across this window. Cumulative moment is barely affected.
Earthquakes
2.544
Largest
M4.2
M3.0+
8
Days with data
1.105
This is a reduced view: it is built from the daily aggregate (counts, moment, magnitude bands, depth histogram) rather than individual events. Map points, the depth scatter, cross-sections and the migration fit are therefore missing — they need each event's location and depth. Counts, total moment and the b-value are exact, not approximated.
Earthquakes over time
Cumulative count and moment
Total moment of all events in the window equals a single Mw 4.4
Note: before February 2026 about half of events lacked an automatic magnitude, so magnitude-dependent figures (b-value, count of M≥X) under-count earlier periods — the catalogue is not homogeneous across this window. Cumulative moment is barely affected.
Earthquakes
4.985
Largest
M4.2
M3.0+
12
Days with data
2.243
This is a reduced view: it is built from the daily aggregate (counts, moment, magnitude bands, depth histogram) rather than individual events. Map points, the depth scatter, cross-sections and the migration fit are therefore missing — they need each event's location and depth. Counts, total moment and the b-value are exact, not approximated.
Earthquakes over time
Cumulative count and moment
Total moment of all events in the window equals a single Mw 4.5
Note: before February 2026 about half of events lacked an automatic magnitude, so magnitude-dependent figures (b-value, count of M≥X) under-count earlier periods — the catalogue is not homogeneous across this window. Cumulative moment is barely affected.
Earthquakes
7.511
Largest
M4.2
M3.0+
19
Days with data
3.524
This is a reduced view: it is built from the daily aggregate (counts, moment, magnitude bands, depth histogram) rather than individual events. Map points, the depth scatter, cross-sections and the migration fit are therefore missing — they need each event's location and depth. Counts, total moment and the b-value are exact, not approximated.
Earthquakes over time
Cumulative count and moment
Total moment of all events in the window equals a single Mw 4.6
Note: before February 2026 about half of events lacked an automatic magnitude, so magnitude-dependent figures (b-value, count of M≥X) under-count earlier periods — the catalogue is not homogeneous across this window. Cumulative moment is barely affected.
Earthquakes
9.002
Largest
M4.2
M3.0+
70
Days with data
4.178
This is a reduced view: it is built from the daily aggregate (counts, moment, magnitude bands, depth histogram) rather than individual events. Map points, the depth scatter, cross-sections and the migration fit are therefore missing — they need each event's location and depth. Counts, total moment and the b-value are exact, not approximated.
Earthquakes over time
Cumulative count and moment
Total moment of all events in the window equals a single Mw 4.8
Note: before February 2026 about half of events lacked an automatic magnitude, so magnitude-dependent figures (b-value, count of M≥X) under-count earlier periods — the catalogue is not homogeneous across this window. Cumulative moment is barely affected.
Depth is automatic and uncertain; earthquakes alone do not show magma movement — deformation (GPS) and gas are needed. Grey points: automatic fixed-depth values. b-value computed for M≥1.5 (automatic magnitudes make lower completeness unreliable). Preliminary data.
Up = land rising (possible magma accumulation), down = subsidence. From Nevada Geodetic Lab (third-party processing, ~3-week lag, latest 2026-05-02). Interpreted deformation: Icelandic Met Office.
🌊 Volcanic tremor — The baseline tremor is currently low and should only be compared to recent days since win…
IMO tremor plot (station grf). Most of the signal is weather and surf — not eruption confirmation. All stations: vedur.is ↗.
The baseline tremor is currently low and should only be compared to recent days since wind and waves do not affect the readings at this station. (AI)
Band analysis past 9 days (from digitized RSAM values). High 2-4 Hz + low 0.5-1 Hz = possible magma-movement signal; high 0.5-1 Hz without 2-4 Hz = weather/surf.
Earthquakes in the system
Time (UTC)
Mag
Depth (km)
Area
2026-09-11 11:23
M0.8
1.7
Vatnajökull (Bárðarbunga/Grímsvötn)
2026-09-11 05:48
M0.5
0.0
Vatnajökull (Bárðarbunga/Grímsvötn)
2026-09-11 01:30
M1.0
4.4
Vatnajökull (Bárðarbunga/Grímsvötn)
2026-09-11 01:17
M0.4
16.1
Vatnajökull (Bárðarbunga/Grímsvötn)
2026-09-10 22:35
M1.1
0.0
Vatnajökull (Bárðarbunga/Grímsvötn)
2026-09-10 20:52
M0.9
0.0
Vatnajökull (Bárðarbunga/Grímsvötn)
2026-09-10 19:08
M0.9
4.8
Vatnajökull (Bárðarbunga/Grímsvötn)
2026-09-10 14:26
M1.0
7.3
Vatnajökull (Bárðarbunga/Grímsvötn)
2026-09-09 13:39
M-0.3
4.5
Vatnajökull (Bárðarbunga/Grímsvötn)
2026-09-09 12:21
M0.3
21.4
Vatnajökull (Bárðarbunga/Grímsvötn)
2026-09-09 09:57
M1.3
3.6
Vatnajökull (Bárðarbunga/Grímsvötn)
2026-09-09 07:38
M0.6
4.7
Vatnajökull (Bárðarbunga/Grímsvötn)
2026-09-09 07:09
M0.7
0.3
Vatnajökull (Bárðarbunga/Grímsvötn)
2026-09-09 05:25
M0.6
12.3
Vatnajökull (Bárðarbunga/Grímsvötn)
2026-09-09 00:22
M0.8
1.1
Vatnajökull (Bárðarbunga/Grímsvötn)
2026-09-06 01:47
M-0.0
0.0
Vatnajökull (Bárðarbunga/Grímsvötn)
2026-09-05 22:13
M0.8
7.6
Vatnajökull (Bárðarbunga/Grímsvötn)
2026-09-04 23:44
M1.2
4.0
Vatnajökull (Bárðarbunga/Grímsvötn)
2026-09-03 06:51
M0.8
7.8
Vatnajökull (Bárðarbunga/Grímsvötn)
2026-09-01 14:28
M0.9
7.4
Vatnajökull (Bárðarbunga/Grímsvötn)
2026-08-31 18:29
M0.7
7.7
Vatnajökull (Bárðarbunga/Grímsvötn)
2026-08-31 14:16
M1.0
6.1
Vatnajökull (Bárðarbunga/Grímsvötn)
2026-08-31 14:12
M0.5
5.2
Vatnajökull (Bárðarbunga/Grímsvötn)
2026-08-31 10:38
M0.5
1.4
Vatnajökull (Bárðarbunga/Grímsvötn)
2026-08-29 22:32
M0.9
1.9
Vatnajökull (Bárðarbunga/Grímsvötn)
2026-08-29 18:06
M0.7
10.1
Vatnajökull (Bárðarbunga/Grímsvötn)
2026-08-29 08:30
M0.2
3.6
Vatnajökull (Bárðarbunga/Grímsvötn)
2026-08-27 00:30
M0.3
3.7
Vatnajökull (Bárðarbunga/Grímsvötn)
2026-08-25 08:33
M0.0
3.3
Vatnajökull (Bárðarbunga/Grímsvötn)
2026-08-24 01:55
M0.3
6.8
Vatnajökull (Bárðarbunga/Grímsvötn)
2026-08-18 15:36
M0.9
1.1
Vatnajökull (Bárðarbunga/Grímsvötn)
2026-08-18 05:20
M1.3
2.0
Vatnajökull (Bárðarbunga/Grímsvötn)
2026-08-17 09:36
M0.1
3.3
Vatnajökull (Bárðarbunga/Grímsvötn)
2026-08-17 07:18
M0.9
3.4
Vatnajökull (Bárðarbunga/Grímsvötn)
2026-08-17 07:18
M0.6
4.7
Vatnajökull (Bárðarbunga/Grímsvötn)
2026-08-13 07:20
M0.4
3.1
Vatnajökull (Bárðarbunga/Grímsvötn)
2026-08-12 14:39
M0.9
8.0
Vatnajökull (Bárðarbunga/Grímsvötn)
2026-08-11 22:59
M0.6
2.9
Vatnajökull (Bárðarbunga/Grímsvötn)
2026-08-11 11:21
M0.5
10.6
Vatnajökull (Bárðarbunga/Grímsvötn)
2026-08-09 05:50
M1.2
4.7
Vatnajökull (Bárðarbunga/Grímsvötn)
2026-08-06 19:12
M0.9
2.5
Vatnajökull (Bárðarbunga/Grímsvötn)
2026-08-05 07:28
M0.6
4.1
Vatnajökull (Bárðarbunga/Grímsvötn)
2026-07-29 01:37
M1.1
6.0
Vatnajökull (Bárðarbunga/Grímsvötn)
2026-07-28 21:10
M1.1
6.3
Vatnajökull (Bárðarbunga/Grímsvötn)
2026-07-28 21:09
M1.8
4.6
Vatnajökull (Bárðarbunga/Grímsvötn)
2026-07-28 21:05
M1.5
5.3
Vatnajökull (Bárðarbunga/Grímsvötn)
2026-07-28 21:04
M0.8
6.2
Vatnajökull (Bárðarbunga/Grímsvötn)
2026-07-28 21:03
M1.3
5.5
Vatnajökull (Bárðarbunga/Grímsvötn)
2026-07-24 17:04
M1.0
0.9
Vatnajökull (Bárðarbunga/Grímsvötn)
2026-07-24 06:16
M0.3
0.0
Vatnajökull (Bárðarbunga/Grímsvötn)
2026-07-21 08:54
M1.1
3.8
Vatnajökull (Bárðarbunga/Grímsvötn)
2026-07-18 13:06
M0.1
3.9
Vatnajökull (Bárðarbunga/Grímsvötn)
2026-07-18 06:27
M0.6
8.3
Vatnajökull (Bárðarbunga/Grímsvötn)
2026-07-18 01:48
M0.6
9.2
Vatnajökull (Bárðarbunga/Grímsvötn)
2026-07-17 14:27
M-0.1
0.5
Vatnajökull (Bárðarbunga/Grímsvötn)
2026-07-16 22:19
M0.8
8.4
Vatnajökull (Bárðarbunga/Grímsvötn)
2026-07-16 20:53
M2.1
3.2
Vatnajökull (Bárðarbunga/Grímsvötn)
2026-07-16 08:20
M0.8
6.9
Vatnajökull (Bárðarbunga/Grímsvötn)
2026-07-14 00:44
M0.6
3.3
Vatnajökull (Bárðarbunga/Grímsvötn)
2026-07-13 07:34
M0.8
3.5
Vatnajökull (Bárðarbunga/Grímsvötn)
For the advanced — expert charts — Coulomb, migration, InSAR
🔬 Coulomb stress transfer — advanced analysis
1 earthquakes M≥3.0 in this window on this system. Such events transfer stress to neighbouring faults — some become more likely to slip, others less ("Coulomb stress transfer"). The Met Office does not publish focal mechanisms for automatically located events, so Skjálfti does not compute this itself — it requires strike/dip/rake data which is only available for M≥4.5 events in the GCMT catalogue.
For Coulomb analysis, see: USGS Coulomb 3.4 (stand-alone software) and focal mechanisms for Iceland in Global CMT.
System journal
Automatic snapshots and media coverage, in chronological order. Subscribe: RSS · ntfy skjalftar-grimsvotn
2026-09-11 14:45:02 UTC
In the last 24 hours, 7 earthquakes were measured in Grímsvötn, Iceland's most active volcano. Activity is increasing, now well above the weekly average (3 earthquakes per day) and monthly average (1 earthquake per day). This is slightly more activity than usual in this area, with scattered background activity rather than swarms. The largest earthquake in the last 48 hours was M1.1, and the cumulative magnitude in the same period was Mw 1.5. The land is subsiding by ~19 mm/year according to GNSS measurements (data a few weeks old). This activity is most similar to the period around June 12, 2018. These are automatic preliminary results, and depth is unreliable. Further information, maps, and trends can be found lower on the page.
2026-09-11 12:00:03 UTC
In the last 24 hours, 7 earthquakes were measured in Grímsvötn, which is Iceland's most active volcano under Vatnajökull. Activity is increasing and is now somewhat higher than usual for this area, with 7 earthquakes in the last 24 hours compared to an average of 1.0 per day (β 3.8). The largest earthquake in the last 48 hours was M1.0 and the cumulative moment was Mw 1.4. The activity is characterized by diffuse background seismicity rather than swarms, and most closely resembles a period around April 7, 2022. Ground subsidence is measured at approximately 19 mm/year (seasonally adjusted), but the decadal average is +53 mm/year. These are automatic preliminary results and depth is unreliable.
2026-09-11 10:00:03 UTC
In the last 24 hours, 5 earthquakes were measured at Grímsvötn, Iceland's most active volcano, located under Vatnajökull glacier. This represents an increase in activity compared to the weekly average (2 earthquakes per day) and monthly average (1 earthquake per day). The activity is slightly higher than usual for this area, but it is characterized by diffuse background seismicity rather than swarms. The largest earthquake in the last 48 hours was M1.0, and the cumulative moment magnitude over the same period was Mw 1.3. These are automatic preliminary results.
2026-09-11 01:35:02 UTC
In the last 24 hours, 4 earthquakes were measured in Grímsvötn, Iceland's most active volcano. Activity is increasing but remains within what is normal for the area. The largest earthquake in the last 48 hours was M1.3, and the cumulative moment magnitude of earthquakes in the same period was Mw 1.5. The land in Grímsvötn is subsiding by ~19 mm/year according to the latest GNSS data. The activity is most similar to a period around March 2, 2026. Results are automatic preliminary results.
2026-09-10 05:30:03 UTC
In the last 24 hours, 5 earthquakes were measured at Grímsvötn, Iceland's most active volcano under Vatnajökull, which erupts every few years to decades. Activity has been increasing, with the last 24 hours well above the weekly average. This is slightly more activity than usual in this area, with a β-value of 2.1 and 4 earthquakes in the last 24 hours, compared to an average of 1.0 per day. The largest earthquake in the last 48 hours was M1.3 and the cumulative moment was Mw 1.4. The land is subsiding by ~13 mm/year according to GNSS measurements. The activity is mostly diffuse background activity rather than swarms and is most similar to the period around December 11, 2016. These are automatic preliminary results.
2026-09-09 14:45:02 UTC
In the last 24 hours, 6 earthquakes were measured in the Grímsvötn volcanic system, which is Iceland's most active volcano and causes glacial floods on Skeiðarársandur. Activity has increased significantly, now well above the weekly average (1 earthquake/day). This is slightly more activity than usual in this area, with a b-value of 3.2 and a cumulative magnitude of 1.5 (Mw). The largest earthquake was M1.3, and the activity is mostly diffuse background activity rather than swarms, similar to the period around June 1, 2020. Results are automatic preliminary results.
2026-09-09 12:25:02 UTC
In the last 24 hours, 6 earthquakes were measured in the Grímsvötn volcanic system, which is Iceland's most active volcano. This represents an increase in activity compared to the weekly average of 1 earthquake per day. The activity is slightly higher than usual for this area, but it is mostly characterized by diffuse background seismicity rather than earthquake swarms. The largest earthquake in the last 48 hours was M1.4, and the cumulative magnitude of the earthquakes was Mw 1.7. This activity is most similar to a period around June 13, 2019. Results are automatic preliminary results.
2026-09-09 10:00:03 UTC
In the last 24 hours, 5 earthquakes were measured at Grímsvötn, Iceland's most active volcano, which is well above the weekly average. Activity is therefore increasing and is somewhat higher than usual for this area, which is characterized by diffuse background activity rather than swarms. The largest earthquake in the last 48 hours was M1.3, and the cumulative magnitude of the earthquakes was Mw 1.5. These automatic preliminary results are most similar to activity measured around June 16, 2019. Further information can be found lower on the page.
2026-09-09 07:40:03 UTC
In the last 24 hours, 4 earthquakes were measured at Grímsvötn, which is Iceland's most active volcano and causes glacial floods on Skeiðarársandur. Activity is increasing but remains within what is considered normal for the area. The largest earthquake was M1.1, and the cumulative magnitude of earthquakes in the last 48 hours was Mw 1.3. These are automatic preliminary results, and the activity is most similar to a period around June 23, 2018.
2026-09-01 10:40:05 UTC
Over the last 24 hours, seismic activity has been somewhat higher than usual in Grímsvötn, Iceland's most active volcano located beneath the Vatnajökull glacier, with measurements indicating increasing activity as 9 earthquakes were detected, well above the weekly average. This represents scattered background activity rather than swarms, with 90% of events over the last seven days being independent, closely resembling the period around September 9, 2024. The cumulative magnitude over the last 48 hours was Mw 1.4, with the largest earthquake measuring magnitude 1.0, though it must be noted that these are automatic preliminary results with unreliable depth estimates. According to GNSS data from a few weeks ago, the land is rising by approximately 15 mm per year based on seasonally adjusted measurements.
2026-09-01 08:35:05 UTC
Over the last 24 hours, seismic activity has been increasing in Grímsvötn, Iceland's most active volcano located beneath Vatnajökull, with 11 automatic earthquakes detected, which is well above the weekly rate. This represents slightly more activity than usual for this area and is characterized as scattered background activity rather than swarms, with the largest earthquake measuring magnitude 1.0 and the cumulative magnitude over the last 48 hours at 1.4. Land uplift is still detected in the area according to older GNSS data, and the current activity most closely resembles the period around September 9, 2024, although it should be noted that these are automatic preliminary results where depth is unreliable. Further details and measurement maps can be found lower on the page.
2026-09-01 06:35:05 UTC
In the last 24 hours, 10 earthquakes were recorded in the Grímsvötn system, indicating an increase above the weekly average and higher activity than usual for this area. The activity is characterized by distributed background seismicity rather than swarms and most closely resembles the period around November 26, 2025. GNSS data from recent weeks indicate land uplift of approximately 15 mm/year. These results are automatic preliminary findings, and further details are available below.
2026-09-01 01:15:04 UTC
In the last 24 hours, 11 earthquakes were recorded in the Grímsvötn system, indicating an increase above the weekly average and higher activity than usual for this area. The activity is characterized by distributed background seismicity rather than swarms and most closely resembles the period around November 26, 2025. GNSS data indicate land uplift of approximately 15 mm/year, and the cumulative magnitude over the past 48 hours is Mw 1.4. These results are automatic preliminary results, and further data are available below.
2026-08-31 18:30:07 UTC
In the last 24 hours, nine earthquakes were recorded in the Grímsvötn system, Iceland's most active volcanic system, indicating increasing activity above the weekly average but still within normal levels for this area. The activity is characterized by distributed background seismicity rather than swarms and most closely resembles the period around October 1, 2024. GNSS data from recent weeks indicates land uplift of approximately 18 mm per year. These results are automatic preliminary findings, and further details are available below.
2026-08-29 22:35:04 UTC
In the last 24 hours, two earthquakes were recorded at Grímsvötn, Iceland's most active volcanic system under Vatnajökull, with activity similar to the past week and within normal levels for this area. The activity during this period is primarily due to distributed background seismicity rather than short-lived swarms, with the largest event having a cumulative magnitude of Mw 0.7. GNSS data from recent weeks indicate land uplift of approximately 27 mm/year, and these results are automatic preliminary findings. Further details on trends and uplift are available below.
Repeated × 2 since 2026-08-29 08:35:04 — last 2026-08-29 11:45:04
In the last 24 hours, one earthquake was recorded in Grímsvötn, Iceland's most active volcanic system under Vatnajökull, with activity similar to the past week. Seismicity remains within normal levels for this area and is characterized by distributed background activity rather than swarms. GNSS measurements indicate land uplift of approximately 27 mm per year, though the data are several weeks old. These results are automatic preliminary findings, and further details are available below.
Repeated × 2 since 2026-08-28 11:45:04 — last 2026-08-29 00:40:04
In the last 24 hours, no seismic activity was recorded at Grímsvötn and activity is decreasing compared to the weekly average, though it remains within normal levels for this area. Events over the past week are characterized by distributed background activity rather than swarms, and land uplift measures approximately 27 mm per year according to GNSS data. These automatic preliminary results most closely resemble the period around July 28, 2025, regarding earthquake count. Further details on maps and trends can be found lower on the page.
2026-08-28 00:35:04 UTC
In the last 24 hours, one earthquake was recorded in Grímsvötn, Iceland's most active volcanic system under Vatnajökull, with activity similar to the past week and within normal levels for this area. The seismicity is characterized by distributed background activity rather than swarms and most closely resembles the period around July 28, 2025, though these are automatic preliminary results. Land uplift is measured at approximately 31 mm/year according to GNSS data, which are several weeks old. Further details on trends and land uplift can be found lower on the page.
What do the numbers mean — and what should I do?
β (swarm signal): how high activity is versus the area's 2-year average. β above 2 means an ongoing swarm. It measures activity, not a forecast of a large quake.
Cumulative moment (Mw): the combined energy of the quakes in the period. Uplift (GNSS): whether the ground is rising or sinking, mm per year — the data are a few weeks old. Some systems (e.g. Svartsengi) deform in steps during eruption cycles rather than at a steady annual rate.
Swarm character is computed for a whole volcanic belt, not a single system — it describes the belt, not necessarily this one system.
What should I do? This is automatic monitoring for information — not an official warning. Follow official information from the Icelandic Met Office and Civil Protection (112).